This year China’s gross national savings will be close to $5tn. US savings will be only $3tn. If, as planned, China were to open its capital account – allowing foreigners to invest in China and the Chinese to invest abroad – the scale of its savings would surely reshape global finance. Done well, liberalisation would bring huge changes. Done badly, it could shake the foundations of already fragile global finance.
今年,中國國民儲蓄總額將接近5兆美元,而美國國民儲蓄總額將僅爲3兆美元。倘若中國按計劃開放資本賬戶,允許外國人到中國投資,也允許中國人到境外投資,以中國儲蓄規模之高,必定將重塑全球金融格局。做得好,中國資本賬戶開放將帶來巨大變革。做得不好,可能撼動原本脆弱的全球金融體系的根基。
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