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The EU’s carbon border tax and the fragmentation of global trade

A levy on imports of carbon-intensive materials such as steel may help limit emissions, but producers warn it could radically alter trade flows

In Jiaxing, a manufacturing town on the outskirts of Shanghai, 400 steel industry executives and engineers gathered last November to tackle an enormous task: weaning the world’s biggest steel producer off coal-fired blast furnaces.

The subject is of burning political urgency. The Chinese government is trying to decarbonise a sector that relies heavily on coal — and quickly — or risk losing its dominance as countries with ambitious climate goals look elsewhere.

The source of China’s predicament can be traced to Europe where the EU — one of its key export markets — has imposed the world’s first ever tax on emissions of carbon-intensive imports starting with cement, iron, aluminium, fertilisers, electricity, hydrogen and, of course, steel. The levy will come into force in 2026, but the transition is already under way.

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