In foreign policy, there are many ways to do more with less. Policy makers can, for example, use a mix of economic leverage and coercive diplomacy to get the results they want without a conflict or a trade war. In 2013, we will surely see more of these less risky, more cost-effective tactics as US, European, and Chinese officials resist entanglements abroad to focus their attention on domestic issues. But if they learnt anything from 2012, they will resist the temptation to pass off empty ultimatums as forceful foreign policy.
外交政策領域存在很多事半功倍的辦法。例如,政策制定者可以綜合運用經濟槓桿和強力外交手段達到預期目的,同時又不引發衝突或者貿易戰。2013年,隨著美國、歐洲和中國官員會避免陷入國際糾紛,以便專心處理國內問題,我們肯定將看到他們更多地採用此類風險低、效益高的辦法。但如果他們從2012年汲取了教訓的話,他們將努力剋制住自己,不再把虛張聲勢的最後通牒當成一種強大的外交政策手段。