Last week, a group of eminent economists gathered in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, to review responses to the financial crisis at a conference organised by the Institute for New Economic Thinking, a group founded by financier George Soros. The event led me to reflect on the phenomenon of confirmation bias, or the tendency to find evidence to support what one already believes.
最近,一批傑出經濟學家聚首新罕布什爾州的佈雷頓森林,在新經濟思維研究所(Institute for New Economic Thinking)主辦的一個會議上就各國對金融危機的應對進行了回顧。該研究所的創辦人是金融家喬治•索羅斯(George Soros)。該活動促使我開始思考「確認偏誤」(confirmation bias)現象,即尋找證據,支持自己本來就相信的事物的傾向。
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