When the pandemic began, most analysts predicted that commercial real estate would be one of the hardest hit industries. The exodus from urban centres and the collapse of high street retailers left property companies reeling. Another cloud hung over office real estate, as staff switched to working from home and anchor tenants threatened to move out of longtime bases in New York and London, Hong Kong and Shanghai. The only question was: would office workers come back, and if so when?While there has been a slow return to office work, the data so far shows that spaces are not back to anything close to their pre-pandemic normal: US office occupancy was still at only 43 per cent as of April 2022, according to the property management firm, CBRE. This may be a long-term trend. Just over half of respondents to a recent survey by the law firm DLA Piper predicted a permanent increase in the number of workers who spend less than 50 per cent of their time working in office buildings.
疫情開始時，大多數分析師預測，商業房地產將是受影響最嚴重的行業之一。城市中心的人口外流和商業街零售商的凋敝讓房地產公司舉步維艱。寫字樓地產也被烏雲所籠罩，員工們轉向居家辦公，主要租戶可能搬離位於紐約、倫敦、香港和上海的長期辦公地。唯一的問題在於：上班族會回來嗎？如果會，什麼時候回來呢？