Being wrong does not appear to be a restraint for those making market predictions. The S&P 500 is down 7.7 per cent for the year while the 10-year US Treasury yield isn’t that far from where it began the year. That is quite the opposite of what was being forecast.
對做市場預測的人來說,失誤似乎不能成爲一種約束。標準普爾500指數(S&P 500)2018年全年下跌7.7%,而10年期美國國債(US Treasury)收益率與年初相差不遠。這與當時的預測完全相反。
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