Following its sixth consecutive downgrade of global economic performance, the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook again projects a recovery around the corner. The government shutdown aside, news from the US has been encouraging; despair on the eurozone is abating; and the Chinese slowdown has been orderly. Green shoots have appeared before, only to disappoint. Might this time be different?
在連續六次下調對全球經濟表現的預測之後,國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)的《世界經濟展望》(World Economic Outlook)又一次預計全球經濟將在不久之後復甦。除了政府關門以外,來自美國的訊息總體令人感到振奮;籠罩歐元區的絕望情緒正在減退;而中國的經濟增速放緩也並未引發亂象。經濟復甦的跡象以前也曾出現過,但只給人們帶來了失望。這一次情況是否會有所不同呢?
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