專欄新型冠狀病毒

China’s stimulus sceptics need not fear side-effects this time

At last month’s National People’s Congress, China unveiled a much-anticipated fiscal stimulus package to counter the damage caused by the Covid-19 crisis to the world’s second-biggest economy.

The virus-fighting spend, which amounts to an extra Rmb3.6tn ($500bn), or around 4 per cent of China’s annual economic output, will be paid for by the issue of special Treasury bonds for pandemic relief, as well as infrastructure-bound local government special bonds and a wider fiscal deficit.

For many in China, the intervention is reminiscent of the Rmb4tn stimulus introduced by Beijing after the 2008 financial crisis. Held up as a painful lesson on the risks of ultra-loose fiscal policy, it has since dominated economic debate. But where does this stimulus phobia come from?

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沈時度勢

沈建光,京東集團首席經濟學家,前瑞穗證劵亞洲公司首席經濟學家,赫爾辛基大學經濟學博士。少時曾求學歐美,希望縱橫四海,遊歷全球;如今重心迴歸中國,專欄立意審視中外經濟,建言宏觀大勢。曾任國際經合組織顧問和歐洲央行資深經濟學家、國際貨幣基金組織和芬蘭央行經濟學家,現亦爲復旦大學經濟學院客座教授。

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