The global economy remains in the strong, synchronised upswing that has now been in place for almost two years. The latest Fulcrum nowcasts show no sign of any major slowdown in the global growth rate, which remains around 4.5 per cent, almost a full percentage point above its long term trend. Among the major blocs, the advanced economies are continuing to record growth rates that are, remarkably, 1.7 percentage points above trend, while the emerging markets are hovering around trend.
全球經濟仍然保持著強勁的、同步的上升勢頭，這股勢頭至今已經延續了近兩年。支點資產管理公司(Fulcrum)最新的「即時預測」(nowcast)顯示，全球經濟成長率沒有任何的顯著放緩跡象。目前全球經濟成長率維持在4.5%左右，比其長期趨勢水準高出將近一個百分點。在主要地區中，發達經濟體的成長率仍然比趨勢水準高出1.7個百分點，而新興市場的成長率徘徊在趨勢值附近。
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