Imagine the ramifications of a revolution in Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest producer of oil. Would the price of crude stop rising beyond $100 per barrel? Or how about a combination of events which trigger alarm in the €2.1tn Italian sovereign bond market: say, the collapse of Matteo Renzi’s administration while 600,000 people are evacuated from the shadow of a rumbling Vesuvius.
想像一下全球最大產油國沙烏地發生革命的後果。原油價格將不再升至每桶100美元以上了嗎？或者想像一下，同時發生多起在2.1兆歐元規模的義大利主權債券市場上拉響警報的事件——比如，在馬泰奧•倫齊(Matteo Renzi)政府垮臺的同時，60萬人爲了躲避維蘇威火山(Vesuvius)爆發而疏散——結果會怎麼樣？
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