Here’s a little puzzle. You’re offered the chance to participate in two high-risk business ventures. Each costs £11,000. Each will be worth £1m if all goes well. Each has just a 1 per cent chance of success. The mystery is that the ventures have very different expected pay-offs.
這裏有個小小的謎題。你得到了參加兩項高風險商業投資項目的機會。每個項目會花費你1.1萬英鎊。如果一切順利,每個項目將增值爲100萬英鎊。每個項目都只有1%的成功率。令人困惑的是,兩個項目的預期未來價值截然不同。
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