觀點通膨

INFLATION IS THE GREATER THREAT TO A SUSTAINED RECOVERY
通膨是經濟復甦最大威脅


美聯準前主席葛林斯潘:今年3月初至6月中旬全球股市上漲,可以說是經濟環境意外好轉的主因。這是經濟步入長期復甦的開端,還是隻是空歡喜一場?

The rise in global stock prices from early March to mid-June is arguably the primary cause of the surprising positive turn in the economic environment. The $12,000bn of newly created corporate equity value has added significantly to the capital buffer that supports the debt issued by financial and non-financial companies. Corporate debt, as a consequence, has been upgraded and yields have fallen. Previously capital-strapped firms have been able to raise considerable debt and equity in recent months. Market fears of bank insolvency, particularly, have been assuaged.

今年3月初至6月中旬全球股市上漲,可以說是經濟環境意外好轉的主因。新創造出的12兆美元公司股權價值,顯著增強了金融及非金融機構的資本緩衝,支撐著它們發行的債務。其結果是,公司債務得到升級,而收益率有所下降。最近幾個月,之前資金短缺的公司能夠大規模舉債和進行股本融資。市場對銀行資不抵債的擔憂,尤其得到了舒緩。

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