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UN science body head fears lower chance of keeping global warming to 1.5C

Rise in emissions since original IPCC report 2 years ago now means less than one-third probability of hitting target

The chances of the world limiting the rise in global temperatures to 1.5C since pre-industrial times are now less than the one-third to one-half predicted in the last landmark report by UN’s climate science body, its new chair said.

British academic Jim Skea, who has taken over as chair of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, said the continued rise of greenhouse gas emissions since its 2021 report had reduced the chances of curbing global warming.

Under the 2015 Paris Agreement, almost 200 countries agreed to limit global temperature rises to well below 2C — and ideally to 1.5C.

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