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China needs to take a long-term view and let the renminbi rise

Appreciation would suit Beijing’s global ambitions for the currency

The writer is an economist and also sits on the board of the Bank of China (UK). He writes in a personal capacity

China faces a currency trilemma. Should its policy be for the renminbi to strengthen, depreciate or stabilise? There are immediate arguments against each option so a longer-term approach is needed.

Beijing should encourage a stronger renminbi and adjust domestic policy so this is seen as credible by the financial markets. It would suit China’s longer-term ambition of a stronger future role for the renminbi and a shift to a multi-polar currency system.

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