Even the smartest experts have a hard time predicting the future of technology. Consider the example of Bob Metcalfe, the inventor of Ethernet who, in 1995, boldly forecast that the internet would experience a catastrophic collapse — or a “gigalapse” — the following year.
再聰明絕頂的專家也難以預測技術的未來前景。看看鮑勃•梅特卡夫(Bob Metcalfe)的例子,這位乙太網發明者在1995年大膽預測,網路將在來年遭遇災難性的崩潰,或者說「千兆故障」(gigalapse)。
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