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Central banks’ trillion-dollar problem
各國央行的兆美元難題

Bloated balance sheets need to come down without endangering financial stability
帕裏克:各國央行必須縮減龐大的資產負債表,難題是如何在不引發動盪的情況下進行量化緊縮。

From 2009 until the end of last year, net asset purchases by major central banks — the US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan — totalled about $20tn. That figure must come down. The big question is how far, and how fast.Following the financial crisis, central banks hoovered up bonds as part of quantitative easing programmes to stimulate demand-sapped economies. Then the pandemic hit, leading to a further bond-buying binge to calm markets. Central banks (with the exception of the BoJ) have been slimming their balance sheets this year via quantitative tightening: letting expiring bonds roll off their balance sheets, and in the case of the BoE, through sales.

從2009年到去年年底,主要央行——美聯準(Federal Reserve)、歐洲央行(ECB)、英國央行(Bank of England)和日本央行(Bank of Japan)——的淨資產購買總額約爲20兆美元。這個數字必須降下來。現在最大的問題是降幅多大、降得多快。

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