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The sceptical case on generative AI

Hype is huge around the technology, but some uncomfortable truths are also being raised

Even by the breathless standards of previous technology hype cycles, the generative artificial intelligence enthusiasts have been hyperventilating hard. 

Trillion-dollar companies, including Alphabet and Microsoft, declare that AI is the new electricity or fire and are re-engineering their entire businesses around it. Never knowingly outhyped, venture capital investors have been pumping money into the sector, too. Fifty of the most promising generative AI start-ups, identified by CB Insights, have raised more than $19bn in funding since 2019. Of these, 11 now count as unicorns with valuations above $1bn.

Even the sober suits at McKinsey estimate that the technology could add between $2.6tn to $4.4tn of economic value annually across 63 examples of use it analysed, ranging from banking to life sciences. In other words, in very rough terms, generative AI could create a new UK economy every year (the country’s gross domestic product was $3.1tn in 2021).

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