Will the Federal Reserve’s September meeting see US interest rates go up for the first time since 2006? Officials have held out the prospect that it might, and have suggested that — barring major unforeseen developments — rates will probably be increased by the end of the year. Conditions could change, and the Fed has been careful to avoid outright commitments. But a reasonable assessment of current conditions suggest that raising rates in the near future would be a serious error that would threaten all three of the Fed’s major objectives — price stability, full employment and financial stability.
在美聯準(Fed)今年9月的會議上,我們將看到美國利率自2006年以來的第一次上升嗎?官員們堅稱這種可能性是存在的,並暗示,除非發生重大的不可預知事件,否則今年年底前很可能加息。狀況可能變化,美聯準(Fed)一直小心翼翼地避免做出直截了當的承諾。但對當前狀況作出的合理評估似乎表明,在最近的將來加息將是一個嚴重的錯誤,它將危及美聯準的所有三大目標:物價穩定、充分就業和金融穩定。