In 2007 I made a bet with a fellow Russian businessman. The price of oil, he told me, would never drop below $80 again. This was the consensus among oilmen at the time. And that, I thought, was the surest sign that the oil price would soon start falling.
2007年，我和一位俄羅斯商人朋友打了個賭。他跟我說，油價永遠不會再跌回80美元以下。這種說法是當時石油商圈子裏的普遍觀點。但我當時認爲，這就是預示油價很快將開始下跌的最肯定信號。
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