The latest opinion poll from Scotland shows support for independence down to a new low of 23 per cent. Alex Salmond, Scotland’s charismatic first minister, is very unlikely to achieve the Yes vote he seeks in next year’s referendum. Yet the history of votes on constitutional reform suggests that the very factors that make Mr Salmond’s referendum plan likely to fail make British prime minister David Cameron’s EU referendum plan more likely to succeed.
最新民調顯示，蘇格蘭民衆中支持獨立者所佔比率創下23%的新低。頗有魅力的蘇格蘭首席大臣亞歷克斯•薩孟德(Alex Salmond)希望明年的全民公投能通過獨立議案，但現在看來他多半無法如願。然而，憲法改革投票的歷史表明，可能導致薩孟德全民公投計劃失敗的因素，正是可能讓英國首相大衛•卡麥隆(David Cameron)「脫歐」公投計劃獲得成功的原因。
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