When Alan Greenspan told Congress in 2002 that “there may be more forecasting of exchange rates, with less success, than almost any other economic variable”, foreign exchange strategists were not amused. After 2011, they may admit that the former Federal Reserve chairman had a point.
「與其他經濟變數相比,人們對匯率進行的預測也許更多,但準確性卻更低。」——當艾倫•葛林斯潘(Alan Greenspan) 2002年在美國國會講出這句話時,外匯策略師們並不覺得好笑。但在2011年臨近尾聲時,他們可能會承認,這位美聯準(Fed)前主席說的有一定道理。
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