Anyone who imagines that the Arab uprisings herald a short or smooth transition to democracy should take a glance at the western Balkans. Two decades after the fall of communism, the wounds have yet to heal in the former Yugoslavia. This in spite of a vast panoply of economic and political incentives proffered by the US and Europe.
如果有誰以爲，此番民變浪潮預示著阿拉伯世界將很快或平穩地轉變爲民主社會，那他應該先看一下西方的巴爾幹半島。共產主義垮臺20年後，它在前南斯拉夫造成的創傷仍未撫平，儘管美國和歐洲向該地區提供了各種各樣的經濟和政治刺激措施。
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