This week, I received an e-mail from a friend in Tokyo tagged: “Greetings from Number Three, Japan.” He was mourning the passing of an era. The quarterly numbers he was alluding to suggest that, even in dollar terms, China is now the world’s second biggest economy. There it will remain until, catastrophe or stagnation aside, it overtakes the US to become Number One.
本週,我收到東京的一位朋友發來的電子郵件,結束語是:「來自三號國家——日本——的問候」。他是在悼念一個時代的終結。他所影射的第二季度經濟數據顯示,即使是按美元計算,中國也已然是全球第二大經濟體。中國將在這個位置上呆下去,直到超越美國成爲老大——除非遭遇大災難或經濟停滯。
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