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The new age of geoeconomics

Donald Trump’s tariff threats are just part of a much wider shift. Gillian Tett explains why commerce is being subordinated to statecraft — and how we can adapt

In January 2008, during the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting in Davos, I was summoned to a conference room to meet Ray Dalio, founder of the mighty Bridgewater hedge fund. 

His team handed me a vast report, the size of a bible. This, I was solemnly told, represented Dalio’s views on the credit cycle. 

I duly skimmed it — and then dumped it into a bin, since it was so heavy. That turned out to be a big mistake. When the great financial crisis exploded later that year, Dalio was hailed as one of its prophets, in large part because of the forecasts in that report I discarded.

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