安樂死

On assisted dying, are we really any good at predicting survival?

Forecasting the last seven days of life is harder than the final 24 hours; beyond that, things become shakier still

The writer is a science commentator

On Friday the UK parliament will vote on whether terminally ill individuals with mental capacity can ask for medical help to hasten death. If the assisted dying bill passes, the country will move closer towards sanctioning state-assisted suicide, bringing it in line with countries such as Switzerland, Belgium and Canada.

There are compelling arguments on both sides of this emotive issue and the result feels impossible to call. While public opinion broadly supports change, parliamentarians seem more divided. 

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