經濟學

We Need to Talk About Inflation — the warning signs are still there
兩千年通膨史的啓示

Stephen D King’s timely book should be essential reading for economic policymakers everywhere
麥克弗森:斯蒂芬•D•金的《我們需要談談通膨》回顧了兩千年的通膨史,爲經濟政策制定者認識當前通膨提供了及時的啓發。

Economic history is rarely taught in universities these days. This is a pity, since it is a better guide to policymaking than Nobel Prize winning theses in economic theory. As a result, every two generations or so we are destined to repeat serious policy mistakes. In Britain the Truss government failed to study the Barber Boom of 1972-73 and arguably the world’s central banks too have failed to learn from the oil price shocks of 1973 and 1980.

大學現在已經很少教經濟史了。這實在有些遺憾,因爲它比那些獲得諾貝兒獎的經濟學理論論文能更好地指導政策制定。於是這導致我們每兩代人左右就必定會重複嚴重的政策錯誤。在英國,特拉斯(Truss)政府未能研究1972-73年的「巴伯榮景」(Barber Boom),而世界各國央行可以說也未能從1973年和1980年的油價衝擊中吸取教訓。

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