專欄地緣政治

Annexation: the return of a dangerous idea

Do you ever lie awake at night, dreaming about annexing part of a neighbouring country? If so, you are not alone.

A recent opinion poll for the Pew Research Center reveals that startling numbers of Europeans are not satisfied with their nation’s borders. Asked whether there are “parts of neighbouring countries that really belong to us”, 67 per cent of Hungarians replied in the affirmative, as did 60 per cent of Greeks, 58 per cent of both Bulgarians and Turks, 53 per cent of Russians and 48 per cent of Poles. Such sentiments even lurk in western Europe — 37 per cent of Spaniards, 36 per cent of Italians and 30 per cent of Germans also agree with the statement.

In normal times, these kinds of ideas would not matter much. Hungarians, for example, can bemoan the 1920 Treaty of Trianon, which, as they see it, resulted in the loss of two-thirds of Hungarian land, without believing regaining that territory is a practical idea. The danger is that these are not normal times. The idea of annexation — long taboo in international politics — is creeping back into the global political discussion. The single most important development came with Russia’s seizure of Crimea from Ukraine in 2014. Only a motley crew of countries, including North Korea, Venezuela and Zimbabwe, have recognised Russian sovereignty over Crimea. But five years on, Moscow is tightening its grip on the territory. Most of the world now tacitly accepts that there is little prospect of Crimea being returned to Ukraine. In that sense, the annexation has worked.

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吉狄恩•拉赫曼

吉狄恩•拉赫曼(Gideon Rachman)在英國《金融時報》主要負責撰寫關於美國對外政策、歐盟事務、能源問題、經濟全球化等方面的報導。他經常參與會議、學術和商業活動,並作爲評論人活躍於電視及廣播節目中。他曾擔任《經濟學人》亞洲版主編。

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