Emerging market economies are faltering. The IMF’s latest downgrade to global growth projections for this year — the fourth consecutive cut — was entirely driven by a lowering of expectations across emerging Asia, Latin America and the Middle East. Emerging markets are still growing around twice as fast as advanced economies. Yet the expected gap with advanced economies in gross domestic product growth is now almost a full percentage point lower than a year ago, with GDP growth in EMs projected to be the lowest for a decade this year. Several major economies, notably Brazil, Russia and Mexico, are growing more slowly than advanced economies.
新興市場經濟體正步履蹣跚。國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)最近下調了今年的全球經濟成長預期,這是該機構連續第4次下調預期。本次下調完全是由於對亞洲、拉美和中東地區新興經濟體的預期下調了。新興市場的成長速度仍是發達經濟體的兩倍左右。但目前,新興市場與發達經濟體在國內生產毛額(GDP)增速方面的預期差距幾乎比一年前下降了整整一個百分點。新興市場今年的GDP增速預計將是10年來的最低水準。幾個主要的新興經濟體,尤其是巴西、俄羅斯和墨西哥,增速都低於發達經濟體。