We have reached the end of an economic period, that of western-led globalisation, and a geopolitical one — the post-cold war “unipolar moment”. This is what I argued almost exactly a year ago. The question was whether the world would experience an unravelling of the US-created, post-second world war liberal order into deglobalisation and conflict, or a resurgence of co-operation. A year into the presidency of Donald Trump, we should return to this point. In brief, unravelling is even more likely.
我們已經來到了西方主導的全球化經濟時代和冷戰後「單極時刻」地緣政治時代的終點。這正是我一年前說過的。問題在於，這個世界將經歷美國打造的二戰後自由秩序的瓦解，從而進入去全球化和衝突時代，還是走向一個合作復興的時代。唐納•川普(Donald Trump)擔任美國總統一年後，我們應該回顧這一問題。簡單地說，瓦解的可能性甚至更大。
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