The US CPI report for June, published on Friday, was the fourth successive monthly print that surprised on the low side. Initially, these inflation misses were dismissed by the Federal Reserve as idiosyncratic and temporary, but they are now becoming too persistent to ignore. If they are not reversed fairly soon, the FOMC will need to give greater weight to the possibility that inflation may not return to target over the next couple of years.
上週五公佈的美國6月份CPI報告,標誌着美國通膨連續第4個月在偏低的方向上出人意料。起初,美聯準(Fed)對通膨偏低不予理會,認爲其具有特殊性和暫時性,但如今,這種局面持續得太久,已無法被忽視。如果這種局面不能很快得到逆轉,那麼聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)將有必要對通膨在未來兩年內無法重返目標水準的可能性給予更大權重。
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