What is going to happen to the world economy this year? Much the most plausible answer is that it is going to grow. As I argued in a column published at this time last year, the most astonishing fact about the world economy is that it has grown in every year since the early 1950s. In 2017 it is virtually certain to grow again, possibly faster than in 2016, as Gavyn Davies has argued persuasively. So what might go wrong?
世界經濟今年將發生什麼?可能性最大的答案是,它將繼續成長。正如我在去年此時發表的一篇專欄中所說的,世界經濟最令人驚歎的事實是,自上世紀50年代初以來,它每年都保持成長。2017年,世界經濟幾乎肯定會繼續成長,增速可能比2016年更快——正如加文•戴維斯(Gavyn Davies)很有說服力地論證的那樣。既然如此,可能出問題的地方有哪些呢?
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