專欄現金流

Trust cash cows rather than herd instincts

For any investor there is only one quest that matters: the search for value. But knowing which assets are genuinely cheap is very difficult; this intellectual challenge explains why so few market professionals are consistently successful.

Perhaps the most subjective aspect in analysing any business is the quality of earnings. By this I mean not so much whether the accounts are accurate and conservatively stated, but whether the earnings are repeatable and bankable. Many enterprises have an unsustainable model, only temporary advantages, rising competition and weak fundamentals. They should, all other things being equal, trade for a low multiple.

By contrast, some companies have high forward visibility of revenue, defendable and attractive margins, a strong franchise with high barriers to entry, proprietary technology or brands, and a sizeable market share. Such rare and enviable situations are usually very expensive to purchase.

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盧克•強森

盧克•強森(Luke Johnson)是一位成果頗豐的企業家和創業家,他爲英國《金融時報》撰寫企業家專欄。他目前擔任英國皇家藝術協會的主席,並管理著一傢俬人股本投資公司——Risk Capital Partners。強森曾在牛津大學學醫,但是畢業後卻進入投行業。他在1992年收購PizzaExpress,擔任其董事長,並將其上市。到1999年出售的時候,PizzaExpress的股價已經從40英鎊漲至800英鎊。

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