In 1906, the great statistician Francis Galton observed a competition to guess the weight of an ox at a country fair. Eight hundred people entered. Galton, being the kind of man he was, ran statistical tests on the numbers. He discovered that the average guess (1,197lb) was extremely close to the actual weight (1,198lb) of the ox. This story was told by James Surowiecki, in his entertaining book The Wisdom of Crowds.
1906年,偉大的統計學家弗朗西斯•高爾頓(Francis Galton)在一個鄉下集市上觀察了一場猜測一頭公牛重量的比賽。有八百人參加。出於職業敏感,高爾頓對數據進行了統計檢驗。他發現,猜測的平均值(11971磅)非常接近公牛的實際重量(11981磅)。詹姆士•蘇洛維爾奇(James Surowiecki)在他有趣的著作《羣體智慧》(The Wisdom of Crowds)一書中講述了這個故事。
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