I keep stumbling across unswerving predictions that the future belongs to China. Or, perhaps to the contrary, that the Middle Kingdom will always struggle to challenge US primacy. Don’t ask where India and Brazil fit in. Enjoyable as it is, this exercise in the remaking of the geopolitical landscape is also something of a diversion. The 21st century will not be shaped by the abstract choices of states. Transformative power will belong to a new global middle class.
我不斷碰到有人不依不饒地做出這樣的預測：未來屬於中國。或者是相反的預測：這個「中央之國」將永遠難以撼動美國的霸主地位。不要問印度和巴西的位置在哪裏。重繪地緣政治版圖是種令人陶醉的嘗試，但也是一種分散注意力的行爲。塑造21世紀的力量，將不是各國政府的抽象選擇。相反，推動轉變的力量將屬於一個新興的全球中產階層。
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