The Indian economy is in the doldrums: industrial output has stalled, inflation remains high, the rupee has plunged to an all-time low and foreign investors are retreating en masse. Is this a temporary rough patch or is the shine coming off?
India, like many other emerging markets, is not immune to global economic turmoil. Yet there is a palpable sense that the economy is losing its direction as political paralysis sets in, stalling reforms that the country desperately needs.
After a few glorious years, when the economy seemed to have switched permanently to a high growth path, the domestic narrative was that India would soon decisively eliminate the growth gap with China. Unfortunately, rather than pushing forward with reforms to cement these gains, a sense of hubris set in.