Leave “reassuringly expensive” for the ad men. The widening valuation gulf between Asian and Western stocks has a lot of investors nervously eyeing the exits. Asia's forward price/earnings ratio, at 23 times, is teetering some 30 per cent above its three-year average; the US and Europe, at 16 and 13 times, are 7 and 11 per cent above trend, respectively. The spread between Eastern and Western p/es has averaged 4.5 over that period; now it is 8.6.
「雖然貴,但貴得讓人放心」(reassuringly expensive,系著名廣告語——譯者注)這種話,就留給廣告人去說吧。隨著亞洲和西方股市之間的估值鴻溝不斷擴大,許多投資者正緊張地考慮退路。亞洲的預期本益比爲23倍,比3年均值高出約30%;美國和歐洲的預期本益比分別爲16倍和13倍,較趨勢水準高出7%和11%。過去3年,東西方之間的本益比之差平均爲4.5倍,目前是8.6倍。