Japan
Lex專欄:日元爲何強勁?


日本投資者大量回撤海外資產,使得日元異常堅挺

Sure, if it's Japan. The economy shrank by 3.3 per cent in the three months to December. That makes for an annualised rate of contraction of almost 13 per cent, yet was not a quarterly aberration. At home, job losses continue to weigh on domestic demand. Abroad, demand for Japanese exports is in a nosedive. Meanwhile foreigners are selling Japanese equities. All told, Japan last year racked up its biggest net capital outflow in two decades, with some $160bn leaving the country, JPMorgan estimates (after adding net portfolio flows to direct investment and subtracting the country's deteriorating trade surplus).

不錯,這個國家就是日本。該國經濟在截至去年12月的三個月內萎縮3.3%。這意味著年度化的萎縮率達到將近13%,而且這並非一個季度的數據偏差。在日本國內,大量裁員繼續壓抑著國內需求。在國外,對日本出口的需求嚴重下滑。同時,外國人正在拋售日本股票。整體而言,日本去年的淨資本流出達到20年來最高位。據摩根大通(JPMorgan)估算,有大約1600億美元撤出該國(對直接投資加上淨投資組合流動,再減去日本趨向惡化的貿易盈餘)。

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