Gillian Tett will receive a bonus – probably paid in toxic assets – for correctly seeing that the financial crisis could spread, creating a “second chapter” in the credit crunch, but the depth of the sector's problems knocked others off course. Krishna Guha's prediction that the US would avoid recession if it avoided any large shocks might well have been right. But who knows?
吉蓮•邰蒂(Gillian Tett)將獲得一筆獎金——大概是以不良資產的形式——因爲她準確預見到金融危機將擴散,揭開信貸緊縮的「第二篇章」。但金融業問題的嚴重性導致其他人的預測都不著邊際。克里什納•古哈(Krishna Guha)預測如果美國能夠避開所有重大沖擊,就能避免陷入衰退,這本來很有可能是正確的。但是誰知道呢?
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