SACRED DRAGONS
外資會拋售中國銀行股麼?


外資持有價值近400億美元的中國銀行股,爲期3年的禁售期即將陸續到期。他們或許有充足的理由撤退。但只要留下,就意味著希望。

Prices, for example, are roughly half the peak levels of about a year ago but the outlook suggests they are still some way off the bottom. Decelerating economic growth in China will feed through to slower loan growth and deteriorating asset quality. Last month's cut in interest rates affected only lending rates, thus eroding net interest margins. Even when both rates are cut, as in the most recent move, that hits government bond yields and hence the banks' treasury returns. As pertinently, Chinese savers are shifting more money into higher-yielding term deposits, again increasing funding costs.

儘管股價只有大約一年前峯值水準的一半,但人們認爲它們距觸底仍有一定距離。中國經濟成長減速將帶來貸款增速放緩和資產質量惡化。上個月的降息僅影響到貸款利率,因而導致淨息差減少。即使像最近一次那樣,存貸款利率均被下調,也會影響政府債券收益率,進而影響銀行的資金收益。相應地,中國儲戶將更多資金轉向收益率更高的定期存款,再次增加了融資成本。

您已閱讀44%(767字),剩餘56%(973字)包含更多重要資訊,訂閱以繼續探索完整內容,並享受更多專屬服務。
版權聲明:本文版權歸FT中文網所有,未經允許任何單位或個人不得轉載,複製或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵權必究。
設置字型大小×
最小
較小
默認
較大
最大
分享×