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The AI arms race costs money

And rising corporate bankruptcies
The AI arms race has not fully hit profits yet. The question is whether the market has digested the fact that it must do so before long

Good morning. Yields on 10-year Treasuries rose to a nine-month high of 4.7 per cent yesterday, after a strong ISM services survey and a Jolts report that showed higher job openings. Inflation break-evens and the dollar both rose. Looks to us like the market is pricing in a hot economy. Send us cooling thoughts: [email protected] and [email protected].

Mag 7 Capex

Accounting is boring but important. Particularly important: the difference between a capital expense and an operating expense. A capital expense (buying a big piece of equipment, say) does not count directly against earnings on the income statement, as an operating expense (paying a salary, say) does. Instead, a capital expense appears on the income statement over time, in theory matching the drag on profits to the life of the capital asset. This spread-out expense shows up in a line called “depreciation”.

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