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How to get big numbers when predicting AI’s effect on growth
人工智慧對經濟成長的影響到底有多大?

Consider its scale, scope and speed
考慮其規模、範圍和速度。

I’ll admit to tuning out much of the debate over whether artificial intelligence is going to destroy us all. If our digital overlords do eventually turn me into a paper clip, then at least I will have enjoyed my final precious moments as a human. I’ll have spent them considering a different part of the debate, over how much AI will affect growth. The stakes are slightly lower, but there is just as much disagreement. Why?

我必須承認,對於人工智慧是否會毀滅我們所有人的爭論,我大多數時間都選擇忽視。如果我們的數字霸主最終真的把我變成了一個迴形針,那麼至少我會享受到作爲人類最後的寶貴時光。我會用這些時間來思考辯論的另一個部分,即人工智慧對經濟成長的影響有多大。這場爭論的利害關係雖然略低,但分歧同樣很大。爲什麼會這樣呢?

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