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US oil production forecast to reach new heights despite drilling slowdown

Government agency eyes record crude and natural gas output in 2024 and 2025

US crude oil and natural gas output is set to notch fresh records in 2024 and 2025, the government has forecast, despite mounting fears that the shale revolution that fuelled the nation’s energy boom has run its course. 

Average US oil production will amount to 13.2mn barrels per day this year, rising to 13.4mn b/d next year, according to an energy outlook released on Tuesday by the Energy Information Administration. The figures top the 12.9mn b/d estimated in 2023 — itself a record, surpassing levels reached before the Covid-19 pandemic. 

Dry natural gas production, meanwhile, is set to rise to an unprecedented 105bn cubic feet per day in 2024 and 106bn cu ft/d in 2025. 

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