金融市場

What is behind the dramatic shift in markets

The sudden change in investors’ growth expectations for the three largest economies is upending many consensus trades

The writer is president of Queens’ College, Cambridge, and an adviser to Allianz and Gramercy

Financial markets have witnessed a dramatic change that is overturning the consensus trades that dominated until early February of this year.

Falls in US stocks and their under-performance relative to other countries reflect a remarkable turnaround in investors’ views about the economic outlook for America and Europe — and to a lesser extent China. What is less clear is whether the resulting mix of all this is favourable or unfavourable over the longer term. And that matters a lot for global wellbeing, inflation and financial stability.

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