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‘Necessary conditions’ for rate rise may be met in 2022, says Fed official

Increase likely at end of next year if unemployment and inflation outcomes progress as expected

The economic criteria necessary for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates could be met in 2022, a senior US central bank official said on Monday.

Vice-chair Richard Clarida said that while the Fed still has a way to go before it considers any adjustments to its policy rates, the “necessary conditions” for interest rates to rise from current near-zero levels will be met by the end of next year should the economy progress as expected.

“While we are clearly a ways away from considering raising interest rates, if the outlooks for inflation and unemployment I summarised a moment ago turn out to be the actual outcomes realised over the forecast horizon, then I believe that these necessary conditions for raising the target range for the federal funds rate will have been met by year-end 2022,” he said on Monday in remarks delivered at an event hosted by the Brookings Institution.

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