The “heavens themselves blaze forth the death of princes”. Among the many weaknesses of the human mind is a tendency to assume that great events must have great causes, and to discount the role of accidents. “For want of a nail the horse was lost” is a far more accurate guide to human events than the scrutiny of heavenly portents. Screw-ups are much more frequent than conspiracies.
「君主們的凋殞纔會上感天象」。人類思維有許多弱點，其中之一就是，容易以爲重大事件一定有重大原因，而忽視了偶然因素的作用。用「因小失大」的準則來認識人類事件，要比夜觀天象準確得多。在更多情況下，人類只是把事情搞砸了，而不是在策劃什麼陰謀。
您已閱讀7%（502字），剩餘93%（6331字）包含更多重要資訊，訂閱以繼續探索完整內容，並享受更多專屬服務。