The Federal Reserve’s efforts to stamp out high inflation will push the US unemployment rate up to at least 5.5 per cent as the world’s largest economy tips into a recession next year, according to a majority of leading academic economists polled by the Financial Times.
The latest survey, conducted by the Initiative on Global Markets at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business in partnership with the FT, suggests waning optimism that the central bank can tame price pressures without causing material job losses.
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