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US oil output set for first annual drop since pandemic

Blow to Donald Trump’s ‘energy dominance’ goal as EIA predicts production decline in 2026

US oil production will fall next year for the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic, according to a government forecast that will cast new doubt on Donald Trump’s “energy dominance” agenda.

The Energy Information Administration, a division of the energy department, on Tuesday said US oil production would drop from a record high of 13.5mn barrels a day now to about 13.3mn barrels by the end of next year, as slumping oil prices rattle the sector.

“With fewer active drilling rigs, we forecast US operators will drill and complete fewer wells through 2026,” the EIA said in a monthly report published on Tuesday. Active rigs had “decreased by much more” than it expected in a previous report, it said.

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