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What the polls can’t tell us about America’s election
民調無法說明美國大選的真相

A torrent of data on the presidential race seems to get us no closer to predicting the result. Is addiction to polling distracting people from the issues at stake?
關於總統競選的大量數據似乎並沒有讓我們更接近預測結果。對民意調查的沉迷是否會分散人們對關鍵問題的注意力?

There have been 907 polls conducted by 141 pollsters regarding next month’s US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, according to data from aggregator FiveThirtyEight. They have been conducted online, over email, on the phone and via text message. In total, they have queried the voting intentions of 821,525 American voters, nationally and in 44 states and congressional districts.

根據數據聚合網站FiveThirtyEight的數據,141家民調機構已經進行了907次關於下個月美國總統選舉的民調,候選人是卡瑪拉•哈里斯(Kamala Harris)和唐納•川普(Donald Trump)。這些民調通過在線、電子郵件、電話和簡訊進行。總共,他們調查了821,525名美國選民的投票意向,覆蓋全國和44個州以及國會選區。

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